Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 128.077563 141.331116 154.943815 169.942516 185.976370 202.575584 221.030994
2024-11-03 111.002151 131.216385 152.989636 178.063907 206.018869 236.106508 270.814387
2024-11-10 96.030122 121.153291 149.436196 183.328321 222.525984 266.129743 317.987696
2024-11-17 84.313948 113.076574 146.804106 188.687586 238.704062 295.930507 365.745273
2024-11-24 75.241309 106.850129 145.333325 194.675400 255.275581 326.306138 414.841730
2024-12-01 62.571257 94.574348 135.138177 188.915109 256.882833 338.500521 442.407941
2024-12-08 53.469800 85.770266 128.286543 186.400339 261.757518 354.193051 474.046561
2024-12-15 47.384820 80.283025 125.092020 188.017084 271.449078 375.664031 512.891224
2024-12-22 42.578403 76.003830 123.017449 190.700476 282.265340 398.505669 553.663223
2024-12-29 39.725420 74.235965 124.145719 197.532705 298.501042 428.406676 603.746722
2025-01-05 36.652252 71.760340 123.972934 202.363430 311.998678 454.884992 649.806604
2025-01-12 32.481436 67.062806 120.132480 201.663818 317.743669 471.141378 682.787694
2025-01-19 28.704359 62.673510 116.529238 201.226749 323.988751 488.460255 717.924326
2025-01-26 26.907649 61.470281 117.708956 207.790539 340.173064 519.408141 771.591719
2025-02-02 24.809143 59.487121 117.482005 212.162757 353.292040 546.424277 820.491320
2025-02-09 23.062347 57.931069 117.780388 217.240320 367.445659 575.018358 871.870673
2025-02-16 21.665871 56.870286 118.779986 223.359569 383.188589 606.019747 926.919645
2025-02-23 18.253548 51.380686 111.889209 216.699014 379.796508 610.219148 945.512954
2025-03-02 15.838824 47.560969 107.532375 213.754804 381.684175 621.675309 974.022909
2025-03-09 14.345753 45.501411 106.113877 215.447525 390.516027 643.021649 1016.382663
2025-03-16 13.156475 43.951299 105.485366 218.356990 401.200260 667.117391 1062.820649
2025-03-23 12.629127 43.877013 107.574491 225.865152 419.117035 701.869154 1124.563397
2025-03-30 11.879665 43.162238 108.380833 231.173141 433.667024 731.909234 1180.011149